Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 17.719715 20.171760 22.846489 25.981867 29.558208 33.512450 38.219134
2024-10-27 14.108940 17.265019 20.966485 25.632350 31.364235 38.185584 46.935126
2024-11-03 11.949475 15.609952 20.194070 26.366863 34.480200 44.806812 58.992321
2024-11-10 10.356120 14.383986 19.748824 27.436682 38.207763 52.818238 74.240046
2024-11-17 8.788409 12.932536 18.782576 27.674187 40.909788 59.983463 89.743304
2024-11-24 7.217379 11.214039 17.173410 26.749413 41.845355 64.886115 103.028261
2024-12-01 5.962764 9.753933 15.707919 25.794764 42.588911 69.666055 117.104200
2024-12-08 5.103690 8.768901 14.817529 25.597121 44.510937 76.656645 136.139971
2024-12-15 4.473735 8.055568 14.253320 25.848041 47.242629 85.496656 160.117641
2024-12-22 3.902782 7.347337 13.581897 25.797393 49.446849 93.833794 184.909818
2024-12-29 3.549292 6.975111 13.451228 26.720970 53.637128 106.592881 220.739638
2025-01-05 3.158281 6.464244 12.976538 26.899955 56.422331 117.173472 254.436013
2025-01-12 2.717369 5.791898 12.102395 26.180476 57.386615 124.562921 283.705280
2025-01-19 2.384126 5.284795 11.480073 25.883233 59.218268 134.195477 320.221457
2025-01-26 2.184234 5.031838 11.356438 26.670414 63.656328 150.532909 376.187625
2025-02-02 2.029958 4.854779 11.372093 27.790591 69.128278 170.433432 445.650074
2025-02-09 1.838013 4.555119 11.055263 28.061703 72.616424 186.330253 508.860418
2025-02-16 1.604127 4.111267 10.317787 27.147240 72.929987 194.365316 553.195529
2025-02-23 1.401565 3.710214 9.616916 26.196223 72.971004 201.751951 597.718471
2025-03-02 1.261880 3.448438 9.227309 26.009820 75.091481 215.300772 663.727250
2025-03-09 1.158146 3.265156 9.013813 26.276486 78.579696 233.518375 748.694911
2025-03-16 1.054210 3.062552 8.712371 26.234242 81.166193 249.706153 831.606780
2025-03-23 0.995925 2.981060 8.738975 27.181481 87.010584 277.154132 958.955052